Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015 0.000017 0.000019
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017 0.000021 0.000025
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033
2024-12-29 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043
2025-01-05 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023 0.000033 0.000052
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000024 0.000038 0.000064
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000076
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027 0.000048 0.000093
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000030 0.000057 0.000120
2025-02-09 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000032 0.000063 0.000145
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000034 0.000072 0.000177
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000080 0.000213
2025-03-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000037 0.000089 0.000258
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000039 0.000099 0.000312
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000042 0.000112 0.000387
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000044 0.000126 0.000478
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000045 0.000132 0.000545
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000144 0.000648
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000047 0.000154 0.000754
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000049 0.000171 0.000920
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000054 0.000200 0.001217
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000056 0.000220 0.001481
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000003 0.000007 0.000018 0.000059 0.000247 0.001859